Makroekonomska dinamika Slovenije in primerljivih srednjeevropskih držav članic EU v obdobju pred pandemijo koronavirusa

Avtorji

  • Benjamin Topolko Univerza v Celovcu
  • Romana Korez Vide Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta Univerze v Mariboru

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55707/eb.v9i1.109

Ključne besede:

makroekonomska gibanja, regionalna integracija, finančna kriza 2008, Slovenija, srednjeevropske države članice EU

Povzetek

Članek obravnava makroekonomska gibanja Slovenije in štirih drugih primerljivih srednjeevropskih držav članic EU v obdobju dvajsetih let pred pandemijo koronavirusa. Za natančnejšo proučitev razlik med državami smo analizirali štiri obdobja: 2000–2004, 2004–2007, 2008–2014 in 2017–2019. Proučevali smo kazalnike bruto domačega proizvoda, bruto investicij, nezaposlenosti, plač in izvoza. Ugotovitve raziskave kažejo, da se je položaj Slovenije slabšal in stagniral vse do nekaj let pred globalno zdravstveno krizo, medtem ko se je položaj večine drugih držav izboljševal. Ključno sporočilo raziskave je, da Slovenija pred in v letih po včlanitvi v EU ni izkoristila vseh svojih ugodnih gospodarskih in političnih temeljev za rast in razvoj. Proces približevanja Slovenije povprečju razvitosti držav članic EU se je do nekaj let pred obdobjem pandemije znatno upočasnil, medtem ko se je pri nekaterih primerjanih srednjeevropskih državah članicah EU dogajalo ravno nasprotno. Raziskava nakazuje potrebo po proučitvi dejavnikov navedenega položaja Slovenije v opazovanem obdobju s ciljem preprečevanja stagnacije in spodbujanja razvoja.

Literatura

Abramovitz, M. (1986). Catching up, forging ahead, and falling behind. The Journal of Economic History, 46(2), pp. 385-406. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050700046209

Ahtik, M. and Mencinger, J. (2012). Ekonomika evropske integracije (The Economics of European Integration). Ljubljana: GV Založba.

Baldwin, R. E. and Wyplosz, C. (2015). The Economics of European Integration. London: McGraw-Hill.

Bordo, M., Eichengreen, B., Kliengebiel, D. and Martinez, P. (2001). Is the Crisis Problem Growing more Severe? Economic Policy, 16(32), pp. 10-35. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0327.00070

Callen, T. (2020). Gross Domestic Product: An Economy's All. Available at: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/basics/gdp.htm (retrieved 28.10.2021)

Diamond, D. W. (2007). Banks and Liquidity Creation: A Simple Exposition of the Diamond-Dybvig Model. Economic Quarterly, 93(2), pp. 189-200.

Eichengreen, B. and Bordo, M. (2002). Crises now and then: What are lessons from the last era of financial globalization? NBER working paper 8716. Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w8716

El-Agraa, A. M. (1997). Economic Integration Worldwide. London: Macmillan Press Ltd.

European Commission (2008). Economic Forecast. Autumn 2008. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/pages/publication13290_en.pdf (retrieved 26.10.2021)

European Commission (2013). Economic Forecast. Spring 2013. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/european_economy/2013/pdf/ee2_en.pdf (retrieved 27.10.2021)

European Commission (2016). Economic Forecast. Spring 2016. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/file_import/ip025_en_2.pdf (retrieved 28.10.2021)

European Commission (2019). Economic Forecast. Autumn 2019. from https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/economy-finance/ip115_en_0.pdf

European Commission (2020). Economic Forecast. Autumn 2020. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/economy-finance/ip136_en_2.pdf (retrieved 28.10.2021)

Eurostat (2017). Glossary: Gross domestic product (GDP). Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Glossary:Gross_domestic_product_(GDP) (retrieved 2.11.2021)

Eurostat (2017a). Glossary: Investment – NA. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statisticsexplained/index.php?title=Glossary:Investment_-_NA (retrieved 2.11.2021)

Eurostat (2018). Glossary: Employment. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Glossary:Employment (retrieved 27.10.21)

Eurostat (2020). Purchasing power adjusted GDP per capita. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-datasets/-/sdg_10_10 (retrieved 24.10.2021)

Fontaine, P. (2010). Europe in 12 lessons. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.

Hill, C. W. L. (2009). International Business: Competing in the global marketplace. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

Ignatovicz, K., Novak, J., Marciniak, T., Purta, M., Rozenbaum, K. and Yearwood, K. (2018). The rise of Digital Challengers: How digitalization can become the next growth engine for Central and Eastern Europe. Available at: https://digitalchallengers.mckinsey.com/ (retrieved 13.10.2021)

Inotai, A. and Stanovnik, P. (2004). EU Membership: Rationale, Costs, and Benefits. In Mrak, M., Rojec, M. & Silva - Jaregui, C. (Ed.), Slovenia: From Yugoslavia to the European Union (pp. 353–366). Washington: The World Bank. Available at: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/197621468776951986/pdf/283760PAPER0Slovenia.pdf (retrieved 30.10.2021)

Kindleberger, C. P. (2005). Manias, Panics, and Crashes. A History of Financial Crises. (5th ed.). Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230628045

Korez Vide, R. (2015). Ključni vidiki družbenoekonomskega razvoja Slovenije in primerljivih držav (Key aspects of socio-economic development of Slovenia and comparative countries). V: Štrukelj, T. (ur.). Izbrani vidiki družbenih in gospodarskih transformacij: strokovna monografija. Knjižna zbirka Sodobna ekonomija in poslovanje - SEP, 5. Maribor: Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta, 2015, str. 9-25.

Korez Vide, R. (2007). Slovenska smer: Češka, Madžarska, Poljska in Slovaška nas gospodarsko, konkurenčno marsikje zelo prehitevajo. Večer, 24. julij 2007, letnik 63, št. 168, str. 8.

Krugman, P. (2012). Ustavimo krizo takoj (Stop the crisis immediately). Ljubljana: Modrijan.

Krugman, P., Obstfeld, M. and Melitz, M. J. (2018). International Economics: Theory and Policy (11th ed.). Harlow: Pearson Education.

Mion, G. and Ponattu, D. (2019). Estimating economic benefits of the single market for European countries and regions. Available at: https://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/BSt/Publikationen/GrauePublikationen/EZ_Study_SingleMarket.pdf (retrieved 28.10.2021)

Mrak, M. and Rant, V. (2018). Ekonomsko upravljanje EU: dosedanji razvoj, tekoči trendi in perspektive (Economic administration of the EU: development so far, current trends and perspectives). Ljubljana: Ekonomska fakulteta.

Ovin, R. (avtor, urednik), Jagrič, T. (avtor, urednik), Oplotnik, Ž., Korez Vide, R., Kramberger, B., Volšek, N., Bratina, B., Rebernik, M., Tominc, P., Pušnik, K., Bobek, V., Ješovnik, P., Jurše, M., Šlebinger, M., Bradač Hojnik, B., Miles, K. (2006). Ekonomske in socialne reforme: priložnost ali tveganje?. Maribor: Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta, Inštitut za ekonomsko diagnozo in prognozo, 2006. 159 str.

Samuelson, P. A. and Nordhaus, W. D. (2009). Economics. (19th Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill.

Sokoloff, K.L. and Engerman, S.L. (2000). Institutions, factor endowments, and paths of development in the new world. Journal of economic perspectives, 14(3), pp. 217-232. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.14.3.217

Szczepanski, M. and Claros, E. (2019). European Parliament Briefing: A decade on from the financial crisis: Key data. Available at: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2019/640145/EPRS_BRI(2019)640145_EN.pdf (retrieved 2.11.2021)

WEF (2020). The Global Competitiveness Report. How Countries are Performing on the Road to Recovery. Available at: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2020.pdf (retrieved 3.11.2021)

Objavljeno

2022-05-25

Kako citirati

Topolko, B., & Korez Vide, R. (2022). Makroekonomska dinamika Slovenije in primerljivih srednjeevropskih držav članic EU v obdobju pred pandemijo koronavirusa. Revija Za Ekonomske in Poslovne Vede, 9(1), 3–26. https://doi.org/10.55707/eb.v9i1.109

Številka

Rubrike

Prispevki